The Middle East is at a pivotal juncture as Arab states anxiously look to Saudi Arabia to navigate potential shifts in US policy in the region under the incoming administration of President-elect Donald Trump. The Arab world fears that Trump, with his pro-Israel stance, may sanction moves that could further destabilize the region. However, there is a glimmer of hope that Riyadh can utilize its ties with Trump to temper his administration’s decisions and foster positive outcomes in the Middle East.
Key Points to Consider:
- Arab States’ Concerns: With Trump appointing pro-Israel individuals to key positions, Arab officials are apprehensive about potential actions that could impact the occupied territories, Gaza, and relations with Iran.
- Saudi Arabia’s Role: Leveraging Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s close ties with Trump, the Saudi leadership aims to steer US policies in the region towards a more balanced approach that addresses critical issues such as the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and normalizing relations with Israel.
- Trump’s Past Relations: While Trump’s first term saw close cooperation with Saudi Arabia and initiatives like the Abraham Accords, his administration’s policies were criticized for their pro-Israel bias, leading to a lack of progress on key regional issues.
- Saudi Arabia’s Shifting Policies: Following Biden’s presidency, Saudi Arabia has embarked on a new strategic direction, emphasizing diplomacy with Iran and condemning Israeli actions in Gaza and Lebanon, signaling a departure from the previous alignment with Trump’s policies.
- Challenges Ahead: Arab officials acknowledge the complexities of the current geopolitical landscape, as they hope for a renewed focus on Palestinian statehood and an inclusive approach to resolving regional conflicts under the new administration.
As we navigate these uncertain times in the Middle East, the role of Saudi Arabia will be pivotal in shaping the trajectory of US policies and fostering stability in the region. By engaging with the new administration, leveraging existing relationships, and advocating for a comprehensive approach to regional challenges, Saudi Arabia has the potential to steer the course towards peace and prosperity. It is crucial for all stakeholders to work together towards a shared vision of a more stable, secure, and inclusive Middle East.