Presidential Polls Might Be Saving Face In Final Election Sprint—Here’s Why They Might Be Wrong
-
Silver is just as bad as Luntz and Rive. All Morons
-
Republicans dont usually answer polls period. They always oversample plus 3-5 Dems. Is it not a TIE!
-
Trump's gonna win easily simply because Kamala's fake.
-
The main reason, I think, that the polls seem to be wrong in recent years is that the media hasn't been putting more weight on the polls that have been more accurate in previous elections. Instead, the media has been treating polls that were very inaccurate as if they are equal to polls that were very accurate. To be more precise, mainstream or legacy media leans left overall and therefore prefers polls that favor the Democrats. As a result of this preference, when the media reports a list of polls, the list includes polls most favorable to Harris even when those polls greatly over-estimated the Dem's performance in 2016 and/or 2020. Furthermore, the media treats those very inaccurate, pro-Dem polls (e.g., Bloomberg/Morning Consult and Quinnipiac) as if they are equal in weight to the smaller number of polls on the list that were more accurate in the past and relatively less favorable to the Dems then or now (e.g., Atlas Intel and Rasmussen Reports).
-
Nate Silver questioning anyone’s polling methods is a joke. He’s trash. Or did everyone forget he had Clinton winning with an 87% probability in 2016?
-
The poles are terrible this year, it’s either tied, or it’s going to be quite one side either way, basically they are all saying nothing so they don’t look stupid
-
lol sure a dead heat….that is odd don't you think?
-
They are underestimating Trump’s support big time in the rust belt.
-
💙💙💙💙💙💙
-
Imagine Harris sitting in front of national leaders of countries that don't respect women to begin with. We're so screwed if she wins
-
The polls are inaccurate because of the base they gather from
-
💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸💙💙💙💙
-
"let's not expect results, that way we'll be twice as happy when we succeed!" Romance of the 3 Kingdoms IV, my advisors, 1996
-
So answering questions of a political nature to some random stranger who calls you out of the blue (claiming to be whatever) is a huge violation of the most basic personal security practices there is. They have your phone number which means they've got other data as well.
Related Post
Leave feedback about this