March 15, 2025
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Find out why the Bank of Canada rate cut is causing your mortgage rates to soar!

Find out why the Bank of Canada rate cut is causing your mortgage rates to soar!

Is the Bank of Canada Really Helping Mortgage Borrowers?

When the Bank of Canada recently cut its overnight rate by 0.25 points to 2.75%, many Canadian mortgage borrowers were hopeful for improved affordability. However, the reality may be disappointing as this move has actually led to inflation expectations rising and bond yields increasing. This unexpected outcome has put pressure on popular fixed-rate mortgage products, resulting in higher borrowing costs overall.

Bank of Canada Rate Cuts and Variable Rate Mortgages

  1. Rate cuts are typically associated with cheaper mortgages, but this is not always the case.
  2. Variable-rate mortgages are the most affected by overnight rate cuts, which react immediately to such changes.
  3. Canadian borrowers, however, tend to prefer the stability of 5-year fixed-rate mortgages, which are influenced by bond yields.
  4. Lenders compete based on the Government of Canada 5-year bond yield, not the overnight rate.

Impact of the Rate Cut on Fixed-Rate Mortgages

  1. Following the rate cut, the Government of Canada 5-year bond yield has been steadily climbing.
  2. Even a slight increase in bond yields can have a noticeable impact on borrowing costs for homebuyers.
  3. For instance, a $1 million property with a 20% down payment could cost a homeowner an additional $2,000 over the mortgage term due to rising bond yields.

Bank of Canada’s Missteps and Data Disregard

  1. The Bank of Canada’s primary mandate is inflation targeting, using interest rates as its tool.
  2. The recent rate cut was made despite expectations of a significant increase in inflation.
  3. This decision appears to have been influenced more by fear than data and could lead to further complications in the future.
  4. The central bank’s actions echo the mistakes made during the pandemic, raising concerns about an impending inflation crisis.

Conclusion

In essence, the Bank of Canada’s recent rate cut may have inadvertently pushed borrowing costs higher for Canadian mortgage borrowers. This unexpected outcome highlights the complexities of central bank policies and the impact they can have on the wider economy. As borrowers navigate these changes, it becomes crucial to stay informed and prepared for potential fluctuations in the mortgage market.

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