September 20, 2024
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THE MONEY MINDER

‘Assuming the US may go into a recession, should I rebalance my 401k before Fed rate cuts?’ I’m worried about my investments. What should I do?

‘Assuming the US may go into a recession, should I rebalance my 401k before Fed rate cuts?’ I’m worried about my investments. What should I do?

Hi Money Minder,

Hey there! I’m 45 and have $58k in a traditional 401k with my employer and was hoping to get some feedback on rebalancing.

With all the talk about a possible recession, interest rate cuts by the Fed, and a potential market downturn, do you think I should adjust my portfolio for now and put more into bonds? If so, how much do you recommend? I’m also open to any other suggestions you may have. Thanks a bunch for your help!

Here are my current investments:

VTSAX: 72%

Blackrock EAFE Equity Index: 19%

Blackrock US Debt Index: 9%

Looking forward to hearing your thoughts! Catch you later!

Response from THE MONEY MINDER:

Hello There,

It’s understandable to feel concerned about the potential impacts of a recession, interest rate cuts, and a downturn in the stock market on your 401k investments. Given your current allocation, it seems like you have a significant portion invested in VTSAX, which is a total stock market index fund. While diversification is key to managing risk, it’s important not to make decisions based solely on short-term market predictions.

One practical approach to rebalancing your portfolio could be to consider increasing your allocation to bonds for stability during turbulent times. Since your current bond allocation is at 9%, you might want to consider gradually reallocating a portion of your VTSAX holdings to the Blackrock US Debt Index or other bond funds. The specific percentage allocation to bonds would depend on your risk tolerance, financial goals, and time horizon for retirement.

It’s also essential to remember that timing the market perfectly is incredibly challenging, if not impossible. Market fluctuations are inevitable, and it’s crucial to have a long-term investment strategy that aligns with your overall financial plan. Rather than trying to predict short-term market movements, focus on a well-diversified portfolio that reflects your risk tolerance and investment objectives.

As always, I recommend consulting with a financial advisor who can provide personalized advice based on your individual circumstances. They can help you assess your risk tolerance, review your financial goals, and develop a strategy to navigate market uncertainties while staying true to your long-term investment plan.

Best wishes as you navigate these considerations, and remember that maintaining a diversified portfolio tailored to your financial goals is key to weathering market volatility.

Farewell from THE MONEY MINDER.

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